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Chapter
9 Outline
Notes
- For a good general introduction to the foreign exchange
market, see R. Weisweiller, How the Foreign Exchange Market Works (New
York: New York Institute of Finance, 1990). A detailed description of
the economics of foreign exchange markets can be found in P. R. Krugman
and M. Obstfeld, International Economics: Theory and Policy (New York:
Harper Collins, 1994).
- C. Forman, "Allied-Lyons to Post $269 Million Loss from
Foreign Exchange as Dollar Soars," The Wall Street Journal, March 20,
1991, p. A17.
- Data from Bank for International Settlements, Central
Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity, 1995.
(Basle, Switzerland: BIS, May 1996).
- Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Summary of Results
of U.S. Foreign Exchange Market Survey, conducted April 1992 (New York:
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 1992).
- For a recent comprehensive review see M.Taylor, "The
Economics of Exchange Rates," Journal of Economic Literature 33, (1995),
pp. 13-47.
- Krugman and Obstfeld, International Economics: Theory
and Policy.
- M. Friedman, Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money
(Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1956). For an accessible explanation,
see M. Friedman and R. Friedman, Free to Choose (London: Penguin Books,
1979), chap. 9.
- Juan-Antino Morales, "Inflation Stabilization in Bolivia,"
in Inflation Stabilization: The Experience of Israel, Argentina, Brazil,
Bolivia, and Mexico, ed. Michael Bruno et al. (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press,
1988), and The Economist, World Book of Vital Statistics (New York:
Random House, 1990).
- For reviews and recent articles, see L. H. Officer, "The
Purchasing Power Parity Theory of Exchange Rates: A Review Article,"
International Monetary Fund staff papers, March 1976, pp. 1-60; Taylor,
"The Economics of Exchange Rates"; H. J. Edison, J. E. Gagnon, and W.
R. Melick, "Understanding the Empirical Literature on Purchasing Power
Parity," Journal of International Money and Finance 16 (February 1997),
pp. 1-18; J. R. Edison, "Multi-Country Evidence on the Behavior of Purchasing
Power Parity under the Current Float," Journal of International Money
and Finance 16 (February 1997), pp. 19-36; and K. Rogoff, "The Purchasing
Power Parity Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature 34 (1996), pp.
647-68.
- For a summary of the evidence, see the survey by Taylor,
"The Economics of Exchange Rates."
- R. E. Cumby and M. Obstfeld, "A Note on Exchange Rate
Expectations and Nominal Interest Differentials: A Test of the Fisher
Hypothesis," Journal of Finance, June 1981, pp. 697-703.
- Taylor, "The Economics of Exchange Rates."
- See, H. L.Allen and M. P. Taylor, "Charts, Noise, and
Fundamentals in the Foreign Exchange Market," Economic Journal 100 (1990),
pp. 49-59, and T. Ito, "Foreign Exchange Rate Expectations: Micro Survey
Data," American Economic Review 80 (1990), pp. 434-49.
- For example, see E. Fama, "Forward Rates as Predictors
of Future Spot Rates," Journal of Financial Economics, October 1976,
pp. 361-77.
- R. M. Levich, "The Efficiency of Markets for Foreign
Exchange," in International Finance, ed. G. D. Gay and R. W. Kold (Richmond,
VA: Robert F. Dane, Inc., 1983).
- J. Williamson, The Exchange Rate
System (Washington, DC: Institute for International
Economics, 1983).
- R. M. Levich, "Currency Forecasters Lose Their Way,"
Euromoney, August 1983,
p. 140.
- Rogoff, "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle."
- C. Engel and J. D. Hamilton, "Long Swings in the Dollar:
Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It?" American Economic Review,
September 1990, pp. 689-713.
- J. R. Carter and J. Gagne, "The Do's and Don'ts of International
Countertrade," Sloan Management Review,
Spring 1988, pp. 31-37.
- D. S. Levine, "Got a Spare Destroyer Lying Around?" World
Trade 10 (June 1997), pp. 34-35.
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